Letters to our local weekly newspaper, the Independent Coast Observer, disputing my position that global warming
is natural often criticize me without any contradicting facts, yet I have
repeatedly submitted that current warming began about 300 years ago. A clear,
undisputed example can be found in Glacier Bay, Alaska, where maps from 1780
show glacier retreat of about 60 miles from 1780 to 1912, and only six miles
since (almost 0.5 mile per year for the first 132 years, and only 0.06 mile per
year for the last 100 years).
Melting glaciers are obviously of interest to us and other
coastal dwellers, since Al Gore predicted they would cause 20 feet of sea-level
rise by 2100. Luckily for us, nearby San Francisco has the oldest continually
operating tide gauge in the Western Hemisphere and, since June 30, 1854, it has
recorded a total increase in sea level of eight inches (0.05 inches per year).
However, to satisfy Al’s prediction the rate of rise will have to immediately
accelerate by a factor of 55 times from the current rate of 0.05 inches per
year to 2.76 inches per year for the next 87 years. I predict Al Gore will be
left with over 19 feet in his mouth.
A significant increase is unlikely, since the worldwide rate
of sea-level rise has been decelerating recently to about four inches per
century (0.04 inches per year). That coincides with the slight global cooling
of the past 15 years. Of course, none of these scientific observations agrees
with any of the climate models, so the climate modelers say the observations are
erroneous (see link).
It’s like the denial by the man whose wife caught him in bed
with another woman. “Who are you going
to believe, your loving husband or your lying eyes?”
The models or the facts?
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